Salazar, Padres take series from Dodgers

Baseball Betting Lines

07/29/2010 - San Diego, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pinch-hitter Oscar Salazar singled home the winning run in the bottom of the ninth inning, and the San Diego Padres posted a 3-2 victory over Los Angeles in the rubber match of a three-game series at Petco Park.

George Sherrill (1-2) came on to pitch the ninth for the Dodgers, and Scott Hairston greeted him with a single to left field. Tony Gwynn Jr. sacrificed the runner to second, and Salazar followed by delivering a grounder up the middle to plate the decisive run.

Salazar's heroics made a winner out of Heath Bell (5-0), who tossed a 1-2-3 ninth.

Chase Headley and Yorvit Torrealba both knocked in a run for the NL West- leading Padres, who acquired former AL MVP Miguel Tejada from Baltimore before the game. Mat Latos earned a no-decision after giving up two runs -- one earned -- on two hits and three walks in five innings of work. He fanned seven.

James Loney homered for the Dodgers, while starter Vicente Padilla allowed two runs on four hits over four innings.

The Padres grabbed a 1-0 lead in the first inning on a run-scoring single by Headley, but Loney's eighth home run of the season tied the game in the second.

San Diego regained the lead in the fourth when Headley walked to begin the inning and came home on a double by Torrealba.

Latos, though, ran into trouble in the fifth, walking two of the first three batters. Pinch-hitter Garret Anderson then singled to left field, and Jamey Carroll was able to score the tying run after Hairston misplayed the ball.

Game Notes

Torrealba extended his hitting streak to 12 games...San Diego improved to 32-20 at home...Adrian Gonzalez had two hits for the Padres...Los Angeles was limited to three hits in the game.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

NFL Betting Lines

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